Science Matters by
David Suzuki
With all the discussion in the media about the minutiae
of the Kyoto Protocol, it's easy to forget why we're
taking steps to slow climate change in the first place.
In recent weeks, as politicians have debated the Protocol
in Parliament, several new studies have been published
that are poignant reminders of why we have to start tackling
this problem now.
First, a study of snowfall on Canada's highest peak,
Mount Logan, has greatly extended our understanding of
temperature changes in the atmosphere. One of the longstanding
complaints of climate change skeptics has been that our
atmospheric data only goes back some 60 years - a very
short length of time in terms of tracking climate trends.
But a new report published in the science journal Nature
provides data going back more than three centuries.
At the Mount Logan site, increased atmospheric temperatures
correlate with higher snowfall levels. So researchers
took ice core samples deep enough to provide 300 years
of snowfall data. They found that between 1700 and 1850
there was little change in snowfall patterns. Then, around
1850, snowfalls began to increase - signaling elevated
atmospheric temperatures. By 2000, snowfall levels were
15 times greater - providing strong evidence that atmospheric
temperatures are on the rise, just like ground-level
temperatures.
Another study, one with disturbing implications for
Canada, was conducted by NASA and published in the Geophysical
Research Letters. It reported that the "permanent"
ice cap covering the Arctic Ocean in the Far North is
disappearing faster than expected. In fact, an area the
size of Alberta is melting every decade. Researchers
say that at this rate, it will be gone by the end of
the century, if not sooner. Temperatures are still increasing
and, as the ice melts, the snow that reflects sunlight
back into space is replaced by dark water, which absorbs
yet more heat and further increases the warming trend.
The loss of ice means less habitat for many animals.
Some, like the polar bear, could disappear altogether.
A final study, also in Nature, looked not at how the
climate is changing, but at what this change will mean
to our forests. Trees absorb carbon from the atmosphere
and store it as wood. For this reason, forests have been
dubbed carbon "sinks." Some have argued that
Canada should simply be allowed to grow more trees as
a way to slow global warming and meet the Kyoto Protocol.
But the new four-year study by 50 international scientists
led by Natural Resources Canada shows that pollutants
released by power plants and vehicles don't just cause
climate change - they also stunt tree growth.
The researchers pumped two common gases created when
fossil fuels are burned - carbon dioxide and ozone -
over stands of aspen trees at a huge outdoor facility
in Wisconsin. As expected, increased carbon dioxide led
to increased tree growth. However, when ozone was added
to the mixture, the opposite occurred. The ozone caused
stress to the trees, making them more vulnerable to pests
and pathogens. These pests included the poplar leaf rust
- which increased three fold in a carbon dioxide and
ozone-enriched atmosphere, tent caterpillars - which
increased by up to 31 per cent, and aphids - whose infestations
became more severe in enhanced atmospheres. Considering
the damage that pests are already doing to areas like
the interior forests of British Columbia, the thought
of enhanced pestilence is especially disturbing.
It also means we can't count on trees to soak up all
that carbon we're spewing out through the tailpipes of
our cars, the chimneys of our homes and the smoke stacks
of power plants. We can't count on any carbon sinks to
behave consistently when the rest of the world is changing.
The only reliable way to slow global warming is by reducing
emissions and Kyoto is a good way to start.
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